NBA 2025-26 Regular Season Recap & Results
My results as the #15 ranked parlay bettor on Juice Reel out of thousands of verified cappers.
The Numbers
$3,853 profit on 624 parlays across the full NBA regular season (Oct 1, 2025 – Apr 13, 2026).
+192.67 units. +17.9% ROI. $34.54 average risk per bet.
My record sits at 229-344, which is a 39.97% win rate. That number will look wrong to a lot of people, but it’s not. Most of this volume is parlays and multi-leg entries, so win rate is almost meaningless in that format.
By Platform
Underdog Fantasy: +$3,502 | +31.7% ROI | 273 bets
This was my best app this season by far. 86-173 record, 33.2% win rate, and still $3,500 in profit. The profit boosts they offer every night on 3+ legs are super nice. I made most of my profit on those. If you’re not playing Underdog, you’re leaving money on the table.
If you're not on Underdog yet this is exactly why I recommend it. You can get started with a deposit bonus here
PrizePicks: -$551 | -6.2% ROI | 338 bets
The drag. 338 bets, 44% win rate, still negative. Higher win rate than Underdog, worse outcome. I was actually a bit surprised when I saw this on PrizePicks because I thought I was closer to break even. I guess that shows how valuable using a tool like Juice Reel is throughout the season to track your bets. I think I just played too much volume on 2 mans and essentially round robins. I think next year I’ll treat it like Underdog and do mostly 4+ legs.
Chalkboard, Sleeper, Pick6 + Others: +$999 | +54.9% ROI | 27 bets
15-9, 62.5% win rate, nearly $1,000 profit on 27 bets. This number is a bit inflated because I had a nice deposit bonus on DK and mainly just bet promos on the other apps. I think next year I’ll mix in these three apps a bit more.
What This Season Showed
This season showed me that volume does not matter, and honestly the more bets you make generally the higher the swings you will have.
The PrizePicks number shocked me a little, but it clarifies the decision for next season. Underdog is easily my primary platform. I’m hoping to integrate Sleeper and the other apps a bit more next season. Maybe even doing singles bets on ProphetX or something too just to increase my overall ROI.
We’re on to the playoffs.
My Research Process
Outlier.Bet is the only tool I use for research. I made a video earlier this season talking about my exact daily process. You can check out that video here. Or if you prefer to read the written version, you can check out this article here.
You can get a seven day free trial for Outlier by clicking this link